All Entries in the "US Indices" Category
Harmony in markets: S&P500
One of the key take-aways from Elliott Wave Analysis is that there is an underlying harmony in the markets, even though it appears chaotic while the moves are happening. It requires some effort to determine where the likely pressure points are, and a lot of guts to stake some money when those levels are reached
A closer look at Nasdaq chart
One of the fascinating things about financial markets is the underlying harmony in price action. Once you spot a trend developing, it is often useful to measure how far a move travelled, and be alert for a swing of similar distance in the next leg of the move. Take a look at the Nasdaq charts here, and you will see what I mean.
What is a significant rally in the stock markets?
I read the following in Friday’s FT and thought it is useful to quote here. “History provides some useful benchmarks. After the horrible 1973-74 bear market, equities traded up, though unevenly, until 1982 with six specific bull runs that generated an average 32 percent gain”…but, a buy-and-hold strategy over that time period yielded only 9% compounded annual gains, which merely kept pace with inflation.
Fifth wave extensions can make you rich!
The easiest way to make money in any market is after a fifth wave extension. While identifying the precise end point of an extension is often a challenge, you can become quite rich by joining in once the correction starts.
S&P 500 and Citi
If my analysis of S&P500 (and Nasdaq) suggest that we will get a 5th wave move down, then how can I recommend buying Citi from $11.54? This is a valid question, and any good analyst should have thought that through. What I did, instead, was to look at the index and the stock separately.
SNP500 revisited
On November 3, a day before the US election, I wrote that the S&P index was still in a downtrend and we should use any recovery to the prior high of 1045 to get out of longs. I also suggested that should we reach 1136, we should turn short there. As it turned out, the high was only 1005.
Nasdaq Top 100 index reviewed
A few days back (23 Oct. to be precise) I posted the chart of the Nasdaq top 100 index while referencing to Trader Mike’s post of a potential symmetrical triangle in the Nasdaq Composite index. I figured that it is time to take a look at that chart again
What is the outlook for SNP500
What is the outlook for S&P500 once we get the US Presidential Election results? This is the question that most traders of US stocks and options have in their mind. Let me start with the assertion that we are still in a bear trend in the big picture. Bear market rallies are common, and often [...]
Nasdaq’s trend is still down
I believe we will reach 1140 in the NASDAQ not too long from now. Not only is that level a 161.8% projection of Wave A computed from the top of Wave B, it also coincides with a projected target for the 5th wave of the C wave
The Gold Rush (for the exits)
A couple of days ago, I tempered my bearish view on Gold by presenting a 30-minute chart. The sideways movement appeared to me as the beginning stages of a complex correction. Unfortunately, while the correction was “complex” in text-book terms, it didn’t quite recover sufficiently to give us another chance to shout “sell”.
Was that the stock market bottom?
All you have to do is to search in Google (< click here) and you will see a lot of people talking about market bottoms. Let me share with you a secret. If there is one single reason why I have lost money on some of my trades, it is because I had this vain notion [...]