Jun 102014
 

Elliott Wave analysis can be applied to any number of securities, be an individual stock or index or commodity, or just about anything that is traded in a liquid market. Today, we will take a look at the Elliott Wave analysis of Arabtec Holding Co. This us a popular stock that trades in the Dubai financial markets. In case you haven’t heard, Arabtec Holding Co. (ARTC) headed for its biggest three-day rout since March 2013 as some investors speculated Aabar Investments PJSC, its second-largest investor, is cutting its stake in the Dubai builder. To tell you the truth, I hadn’t heard the news either until AFTER I prepared the charts and mailed them to a friend who runs a large trading desk in Dubai.

The first chart below shows a couple of interesting things. For example, we have a failed 5th wave within the larger first wave. That was followed by a deep correction that went past the 50% retracement level.

Wave 2 of Arabtec

Wave 2 of Arabtec

We then got a fantastic rally was an extended third wave, which went to the 361.8% projection level of wave 1.

Wave 3 went to 361.8% projection of wave 1

Wave 3 went to 361.8% projection of wave 1

After an extended third wave, it is usual for wave 4 to come down to the 23.6% retracement level. This is what happened with Arabtec

Wave 4 down to 23.6%

Wave 4 down to 23.6%

We can anticipate the end of wave 5 by establishing relationship with wave 1. With Arabtec, it was 123.6% of wave 1.

Anticipating end of wave 5 in Arabtec

Anticipating end of wave 5 in Arabtec

If you are wondering how far the fifth wave went past the target, take a look here
Arabtec-5

And what happened at the end of a five wave move?
Arabtec-6

Arabtec probably has a little more ground to the downside, so we have to look at the near term charts to figure that out. I am sure you are now capable of doing that exercise. Go ahead, and give it a shot.

May 012012
 

It has been a while since we looked at the Elliott Wave Analysis of Emar, an important component of the Dubai stock index. As always, there are more comments on the chart than here. Enjoy.
PS The stock is still looking positive and could test the top of wave 1 seen earlier.

May 122010
 

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank is an important player in the emirate of Abu Dhabi. Elliott wave analysis of its stock shows we could potentially have seen a medium term low and so long as we don’t break below the recent lows, we could well have a multibagger in our hands. Buy dips with stop below that low seen earlier this year.

May 122010
 

Elliott Wave Analysis of EMAR Dubai is more challenging than some other stocks because Emar has been moving  sideways for a while. This bellwether stock of the UAE still looks a bit soft to me and think we could get a dip as part of a B wave before the next rally can materialize. So plan your trades accordingly. It is never easy to trade in the middle of a complex correction, but once the current wave ‘c’ of the B wave is finished, we will get a strong recovery towards 5 AED.