May 122011
 

The EUR recovered to 1.4423 after my last comments and the outlook deteriorated steadily until it reached supports around 1.4150. Earlier today we saw a minor but unsustainable breach of that support. But the damage is done. That we breached the support is less significant than the fact that we have finished a 5 wave downmove. As you know, if a move BEGINS with five waves, then that is not the end of the move. So, while we should expect a recovery back to prior wave 4 around 1.4420 (see my previous post), the underlying sentiment (technically speaking) is decidedly bearish. This means exporters to Europe should cover on the next rally, while importers can breathe a bit more easily than they did when Euro was trading near the highs recently. For traders, though, the market is a fair game on either side. Just choose low-risk levels and go with the direction that Elliott Wave Analysis points you to. Good luck.

  2 Responses to “EUR/USD Elliott Wave Update”

  1. Dear Ramki,
    For what I have gathered I think the sentiment for dollar is bullish. ie other currencies should fall against the dollar. Being from India I wanted know what is in store for the INR against the dollar. One analyst has even forecast a level of 60 rupees for a dollar. Can you throw some light on the matter. An EW perspective will be invaluable.

    Regards
    Aniruddha

  2. Mr. Ramki,

    Euro is getting hammered i guess this drop is just the beginning before we see a stronger drop.

    Appreciate if you can give us an update on Euro/USD

    Thanks in advance
    Yasser

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