All Entries Tagged With: "Forex"
Sterling, India’s Sensex and Australian Dollar Outlook plus holiday notice
Hello, I am going to be away for a month on holidays. So will catch up with you when I return. In the meantime, here are two quick updates that you might find interesting. One is on GBP/USD and the other on AUD/USD. As for India’s Sensex, I think we have seen a near term [...]
Sharp rally in Sterling was no surprise
On 5th October 2009, I posted an early warning to traders of Sterling Pound (GBP/USD)that there is something fishy about the decline from 1.6742, and we are likely to see another rally in the Pound. Trouble is, it is so damn hard to believe such calls, and when the rally eventually shows up, many of [...]
Real Time Update on Sterling Trade Idea
This is going to be a quick update. The chart explains it all. If we come below 1.5775, we shoudl come off to 1.5685 initially and perhaps a lot lower. Here is an update on the charts above
Intriguing Moves in Sterling
Fans of Eliott Wave analysis know that a trader has to be alert to correctly interpret new signals as they emerge. This is the ONLY way one has a chance to make money in any market, particularly in the forex market. The latest puzzle that faces us is actually in the big picture. The decline [...]
USD/YEN trade idea
There has been a lot of noise recently about the strengthening Yen. On Friday, the currency pair has closed marginally above a downtrend line of resistance, and this potentially sets up a low-risk trade for the patient participant. I am not saying that we will see a significant recovery in USD/YEN, but in case you [...]
Cable comes crashing
Nothing works like Elliott Wave analysis when it works! The Pound has dropped 200 pips already. While we could expect more weakness ahead, I would like to be prepared with a plan of action should we see a strong correction from around here. ( I am not saying this correction WILL happen. Just getting ready [...]
Sterling Pound Outlook: an update
We got the dip to 1.5768 and a strong rally that has reached 1.5980 at the time of writing. I think there is a chance for some selling at 1.6003, but the bigger resistance lies at 1.6079. From one of these two places, look for a sizeable move lower.
GBP/USD technical update
All I can say just now is we got a nice 250 pip rally from the 1.6395 level, and that more than makes up for some of the opportunity lost on the way down. Also observe how nicely the Pound was pushed back by over 50 pips from the 61.8% retracement level on the recovery.
How to use Fibonacci Ratio Retracements
Choosing the right place to draw fibonacci retracements could mark the difference between success and failure in trading decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis of Forex
If you are trading in the Forex markets, and wish to learn how to use Elliott Wave Analysis to trade currencies profitably, then you should start by reading the book “Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets” written by Robert Balan. I have had the pleasure of discussing many wave counts with Robert [...]
Fibonacci Number Series
Elliott wave analysis of stock market or forex or commodity market would invariably involve the use of some Fibonacci numbers to arrive at targets for corrections or projections. If you had searched the Internet for some information about the Fibonacci number series, you would have found a lot of material, but few explain it clearly enough. So this post aims to fill some of the gaps.
Elliot Wave Analysis of GBP/JPY
The Sterling Yen cross has been a big mover in recent weeks, because not only the Pound got thrashed, but the Yen also strengthened simultaneously. Naturally, traders hop on board any trend that is clear! Here is you chart on Sterling Yen (GBP/JPY) with Elliot wave counts and comments
Sterling could recover a bit, but not too much!
Whenever a currency or commodity or stock moves rapidly and too far, it sets itself up for a period of consolidation. As you are aware, Sterling has dropped like a stone from its peak, and after reaching its medium-term target of around 1.4570 (discussed earlier in this blog), the currency has been moving sideways. Today, it looks a bit better bid
Indian Rupee Revisited
On October 21, soon after we saw calls for the Indian Rupee at 57 to a dollar, I suggested we could be heading the opposite direction, towards 45.25. The idea was based on the Elliot wave view that after a 5th wave extends, we should get a sharp reversal down to the 2nd wave of the 5th
Sterling reaches its larger objective
Just a quick post to record the fact that the Sterling Pound has met its larger objective near 1.4570 last night and bounced sharply. (refer this post).